Wonky Muse
Wonky Muse

October 28, 2008

McCain Losing Ground... In Arizona?!

Now y'all are just teasing me:

A new survey of Arizona likely voters suggests that Senator Barrack Obama (D) is edging closer to Senator John McCain (R) as their presidential campaigns draw to a close. The survey, conducted by Marketing Intelligence and Zimmerman & Associates, shows McCain with the support of 43.5% of voters, while Obama draws a preference from 41.5%.

Two recent statewide surveys, one by Rasmussen Reports and the other by Arizona State University, were in agreement about Obama's portion of the vote, but varied considerably on McCain's strength. Rasmussen said McCain enjoyed a commanding 59% to 38% advantage, while ASU said McCain's lead was only 45% to 38%.
Jonathan Singer has been writing about McCain's weak support in his home state that could create difficulties for him in this election. The way things are looking right now, Obama doesn't need to win Arizona, but as Singer also pointed out, winning there would confirm his mandate like no other state would. Besides, Obama taking Arizona is really just rubbing the GOP's face in it, which I wouldn't mind one bit.

In the end McCain would likely carry his home state, but as the New York Times pointed out, Arizona is trending blue regardless, which bodes well for the Democrats winning the majority of the state's congressional seats. I wouldn't mind that, either.

posted at 1:53 AM by Wonky Muse

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"Sapere Aude."
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Wonk (noun): def. A political nerd. Know spelled backwards.

Wonky Muse is the other Filipino American female political blogger. The sane, liberal one.


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